Thursday’s Advocacy & Think Tank Roundup
- Dan Green writes an article entitled, “FHA Loan With 3.5% Down vs Conventional 97 Loan With 3% Down” which analyzes the benefits and drawbacks to each of the loan types mentioned. Based on the research, the conventional 97 loan seem to be more cost efficient over time for borrowers with higher credit scores; however, if an individual will not keep their initial home for a lifetime, then the FHA loan may be a better deal.
- Although the Trump Administration would like to reform Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, the agency’s reform is not as pressing according to staffers of the Senate’s Banking Committee. “Dodd-Frank financial” reform and flooding relief are more of a priority for legislative reform.
- Harlem’s Community Board 11 has approved a potential 68 floor tower in the East Harlem community. This approval is contingent upon 50% of the units being affordable, members of the community board 11 having a preference when applying, and creating three new school buildings in the surrounding areas.
March 23, 2017 | Permalink | No Comments
March 22, 2017
Judge Gorsuch v. Uncle Sam
The Hill published my latest column, Where Does Judge Gorsuch Stand on Limiting the Federal Government? It opens,
This week, all eyes are on Judge Gorsuch’s confirmation hearing for a seat on the Supreme Court. While Gorsuch has not explicitly stated that he wants to drown or deconstruct the federal government, there is troubling language in his opinions that indicates that he shares that goal. While this will hearten many a Tea Partyer, moderate Republicans along with Democrats should be wary of someone who does not value the good that the federal government can and does do.
His opinion in Caring Hearts Personal Home Services v. Burwell describes a federal government that has ceased to function rationally: “The number of formal rules [administrative] agencies have issued thanks to their delegated legislative authority has grown so exuberantly it’s hard to keep up. The Code of Federal Regulations now clocks in at over 175,000 pages. And no one seems sure how many more hundreds of thousands (or maybe millions) of pages of less formal or ‘sub-regulatory’ policy manuals, directives, and the like might be found floating around these days.”
He continues, “This case has taken us to a strange world where the government itself — the very ‘expert’ agency responsible for promulgating the ‘law’ no less — seems unable to keep pace with its own frenetic lawmaking. A world Madison worried about long ago, a world in which the laws are ‘so voluminous they cannot be read’ and constitutional norms of due process, fair notice, and even the separation of powers seem very much at stake.”
While this opinion draws a colorful picture of a topsy-turvy government that plays well to the crowd, the fact is that the federal government runs pretty well given its size and complexity. Indeed, employees of large and profitable corporations can often be heard making the same kind of complaints about their employers. All large organizations have their catch-22s, their inconsistencies, their maddening snafus. But the fact remains that large organizations have been remarkably successful at navigating the modern world.
Gorsuch’s lazy originalism, with musings of Madison’s concerns about a legal code so massive that it is unknowable, may have packed a punch at the dawn of the administrative state a hundred years ago. Today it misses its mark. Indeed, the first lesson I teach my law students is that their job is not to know what the law is in advance, but rather to be able to figure it out when a case presents itself. The same could be said of any professional. A doctor need not know all of the medical literature. She just needs to be able to search it in order to diagnose her patient. In fact, the massive code is pretty knowable. Just use Google. It’s all there.
For those of us who work for large organizations, who deal with large amounts of data, who crisscross the world’s borders, who do business over state lines, we know that we can survive and thrive in this complex world. And there simply is no alternative. To deny this is to pander to silly romantics who pine for a time that passed more than a century ago for most people: when you only did business with your neighbors, when your justice of the peace lived down the block and when you walked to your job across town.
President Trump knows this. His businesses are scattered across the globe. Steve Bannon knows this. He worked at Goldman Sachs. And Judge Gorsuch certainly knows this. But they also know that people like to hear that we can go back to a simpler time that never really existed for most Americans.
We do not need that kind of patronizing nostalgia in the Supreme Court. Our ninth justice should be one who can craft solutions to our 21st century legal problems that are based on the values embodied in the Constitution, not the facts of life of a bygone era.
March 22, 2017 | Permalink | No Comments
Wednesday’s Academic Roundup
- Economic Policy and Systematic Risk: The Un-constitutionality of Rent-Control/Rent-Stabilization Statutes; Multiple Listing Systems; and the Licensing of ‘Real Estate Websites, Nwogugu
- Assessing Involuntary Termination Risk on Residential Mortgage Servicing Rights, Whalen
- Implicit Hedonic Pricing Using Mortgage Payment Information, Pace and Zhu
- The Time-Varying Price of Financial Intermediation in the Mortgage Market, Fuster, Lo, and Willen
- The Cross Section of Expected Real Estate Returns: Insights from Investment-Based Asset Pricing, Bond and Xue
March 22, 2017 | Permalink | No Comments
March 21, 2017
The Economic Implications of the Housing Supply
Ed Glaeser and Joe Gyourko posted The Economic Implications of the Housing Supply which is forthcoming in The Journal of Economic Perspectives. In it, they
review the basic economics of housing supply and the functioning of U.S. housing markets to better understand the impacts on home prices, household wealth and the spatial distribution of people across markets. Section II documents the state of housing affordability in the U.S., and begins with three core facts about housing supply. First, when building is unrestricted by regulation or geography, housing supply curves seem relatively flat, meaning that we can approximate reality by referring to a single production cost. Second, both geography and regulation severely restrict the ease of building in some parts of the country. These constraints raise building costs both directly, by increasing time delays and reducing the amount of available land, and indirectly, by ensuring the homes are produced more on a one-by-one basis rather than in bulk. Third, the supply of housing is kinked and vertical downwards because housing is durable. (2, citation omitted)
These are themes that Glaeser and Gyourko have touched on before, but this essay does a service by updating them ten years after the financial crisis.
Glaeser and Gyourko have consistently hit on some important points that can garner attention at the national level , but there has been no real action on them as of yet:
- where supply is regulated, housing costs more;
- heavy land use regulation in places like NYC and SF reduces the nation’s overall economic output; and
- existing homeowners tend to oppose new projects, which is consistent with their financial self-interest.
Glaeser and Gyourko do not give up hope that policymakers can craft solutions that deal with the political economy of housing construction. One first step would be to develop a toolkit of carrots and sticks that can be employed at the national and state level to incentivize local governments to take actions that are in the interest of their broader communities and the nation as a whole.
We know we need more housing in highly productive regions. We just need to figure out how to build it.
March 21, 2017 | Permalink | No Comments
Tuesday’s Regulatory & Legislative Roundup
- The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) currently offers some of the lowest mortgage rates in the country. Recently, the government branch added another component to assist with providing Americans with affordable housing. Soon residents of all 50 states will be able to refinance their homes at lower rates.
- The Federal Reserve was examined by Congress’ Monetary Policy and Trade Subcommittee. The committee sought to analyze the agencies practice in balancing America’s financial plans in a more economically forward way. The committee found “‘masking’ of federal reforms and compromise” of the Obama administration which hurt the U.S. economy.
March 21, 2017 | Permalink | No Comments