December 21, 2016
Wednesday’s Academic Roundup
- The Effects of Mortgage Credit Availability: Evidence from Minimum Credit Score, Laufer and Paciorek
- Can Google Trends Actually Improve Housing Market Forecasts, Liminios and You
- Panel Data Estimates of Age-Rent Profiles for Rental Housing, Gallin and Verbrugge
- How Home Equity Extraction and Revers Mortgages Affect the Credit Outcomes of Senior Households, Dodini, Haurin, Moulton, and Schmeiser
December 21, 2016 | Permalink | No Comments
Tuesday’s Regulatory & Legislative Roundup
- Brooklyn housing advocates can rest easy! A Bushwick developer has finally agreed to set aside 20% of the housing units as affordable housing.
- Investors are shifting their stock purchases to real estate to ensure they receive income from their stocks.
December 20, 2016 | Permalink | No Comments
Monday’s Adjudication Roundup
- A Boston cab mogul is in legal trouble again after escaping jail time and being sentence to probation for his prior behavior. However, a Boston real estate developer will not let him off the hook for the mogul abandoning their 145 million dollar property deal.
- A California jury convicted four real estate investors due to their devious involvement in California’s foreclosure auctions. This bidding scheme involved over 100 properties in the San Francisco area.
- Commonwealth Insurance Company is relieved because a New York court freed the company from a 100 million dollar suit.
December 19, 2016 | Permalink | No Comments
December 16, 2016
Muddled Future for Fannie & Freddie
The United States Government Accountability Office released a report, Objectives Needed for the Future of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac After Conservatorships. The GAO’s findings read a bit like a “dog bites man” story — stating, as it does, the obvious: “Congress should consider legislation that would establish clear objectives and a transition plan to a reformed housing finance system that enables the enterprises to exit conservatorship. FHFA agreed with our overall findings.” (GAO Highlights page) I think everyone agrees with that, except unfortunately, Congress. Congress has let the two companies languish in the limbo of conservatorship for over eight years now.
Richard Shelby, the Chairman of the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, asked the GAO to prepare this report in order to
examine FHFA’s actions as conservator. This report addresses (1) the extent to which FHFA’s goals for the conservatorships have changed and (2) the implications of FHFA’s actions for the future of the enterprises and the broader secondary mortgage market. GAO analyzed and reviewed FHFA’s actions as conservator and supporting documents; legislative proposals for housing finance reform; the enterprises’ senior preferred stock agreements with Treasury; and GAO, Congressional Budget Office, and FHFA inspector general reports. GAO also interviewed FHFA and Treasury officials and industry stakeholders (Id.)
The GAO’s findings are pretty technical, but still very important for housing analysts:
In the absence of congressional direction, FHFA’s shift in priorities has altered market participants’ perceptions and expectations about the enterprises’ ongoing role and added to uncertainty about the future structure of the housing finance system. In particular, FHFA halted several actions aimed at reducing the scope of enterprise activities and is seeking to maintain the enterprises in their current state. However, other actions (such as reducing their capital bases to $0 by January 2018) are written into agreements for capital support with the Department of the Treasury (Treasury) and continue to be implemented.
In addition, the change in scope for the technology platform for securitization puts less emphasis on reducing barriers facing private entities than previously envisioned, and new initiatives to expand mortgage availability could crowd out market participants.
Furthermore, some actions, such as transferring credit risk to private investors, could decrease the likelihood of drawing on Treasury’s funding commitment, but others, such as reducing minimum down payments, could increase it.
GAO has identified setting clear objectives as a key principle for providing government assistance to private market participants. Because Congress has not established objectives for the future of the enterprises after conservatorships or the federal role in housing finance, FHFA’s ability to shift priorities may continue to contribute to market uncertainty. (Id.)
One finding seems particularly spot on to me. As I wrote yesterday, it appears as if the FHFA is not focusing sufficiently on building the infrastructure to serve secondary mortgage markets other than Fannie and Freddie. It seems to me that a broader and deeper bench of secondary mortgage market players will benefit the housing market in the long run.
December 16, 2016 | Permalink | No Comments
Friday’s Government Reports Roundup
- Yesterday the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) released its final “Duty to Serve” rule, which requires Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to support certain segments of the mortgage market that are traditionally underserved by private investors.
- U.S. homebuilders’ confidence soared this month to the highest level in 11 years, reflecting heightened expectations of better sales now and well into 2017. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo builder sentiment index released Thursday jumped seven points to 70. The last time the reading was at this level was July 2005, during the high-flying days of the last U.S. housing boom.
- In a statement released Wednesday by the Federal Reserve, the FOMC voted unanimously to raise the target range for the federal funds rate from 0.5% to 0.75%, effective Dec. 15, 2016.
December 16, 2016 | Permalink | No Comments


