October 31, 2016
Monday’s Adjudication Roundup
- Residential mortgage-backed securities trustee Wells Fargo urged a Manhattan judge Friday to order BlackRock Funds and other big investors suing it for more than $1 billion over faulty mortgage bundles to turn over their own internal modeling techniques, saying the information will undercut their case
October 31, 2016 | Permalink | No Comments
October 28, 2016
Mortgages from the Shadows
Realtor.com quoted me in ‘Shadow Banks’ Are on the Rise for Home Loans: Should We Be Afraid? It opens,
Where do home buyers go for a mortgage? To a bank, of course—or at least that’s what many might think. Yet a new force has taken over home financing, called “shadow banks.” So what are these non-banks exactly, and should we run for the hills?
In a nutshell, these are the less conventional places that don’t provide savings accounts, only loans to buy homes. They include companies like Quicken Loans, which is one of the nation’s largest mortgage providers, Caliber, and loanDepot.com.
But they can also be companies run by wealthy individuals using their personal fortunes to finance loans and then pocketing monthly interest payments, according to the Wall Street Journal. Or they could be funded by private equity, which is financed by pooled investor cash.
And, as a group, they’re no longer operating on the fringes of the housing industry. Instead, shadow banks “have overtaken U.S. commercial banks, to grab a record slice” of the market,” according to a recent housing report by ATTOM Data Solutions.
This group of nontraditional lenders now accounts for 48.3% of mortgages in 2016—compared to just 23.4% in 2008, according to the ATTOM report.
“The big banks got burned by the financial crisis, so they’ve become much more hesitant to make loans that are even close to being risky,” says Daren Blomquist, senior vice president at ATTOM.
These mortgage makers are very appealing to buyers without a 20%—or even 10%—down payment and therefore have trouble getting a loan from a regular old bank, says Blomquist. This might make sense for first-time buyers, or folks who have gone through a foreclosure.
But are they right for everyone? And, more to the point: Are they harbingers of the risky loaning behavior that help bring on the U.S. housing collapse?
Could shadow banks lead to another housing crisis?
As a group, these lenders are not subject to the same level of governmental scrutiny, regulations, and fees that drove many traditional financial institutions, like banks, out of the space after the housing bust. But they still come under a significant amount of federal oversight.
In short, regular banks retreated, so shadow banks moved in. What’s wrong with that?
As market media site Seeking Alpha has pointed out, shadow banks are “some of the same characters that played leading roles [in the last housing crisis].”
Not all experts believe we should be overly worried.
“While it’s true that so-called shadow banks played roles in the last housing crisis … the market itself is very different,” says David Reiss, a professor of Law at Brooklyn Law School and editor of REFinBlog.com.
For one, the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, passed in 2010 in response to the housing meltdown of 2008, changed how all lenders—banks, shadow banks, and otherwise—make loans, to better ensure there isn’t another housing bust.
Another big difference: Lenders are now documenting the income of borrowers to make sure these new homeowners can afford to make their monthly payments.
“There’s no evidence out there that non-banks are lending in any sort of imprudent way and/or hurting consumers,” Guy Cecala, publisher and CEO of Inside Mortgage Finance, tells realtor.com®. “In fact, most non-banks are more competitive than banks when it comes to mortgage interest rates and fees.”
“But they don’t have the same level of capital [such as cash], assets, or liquidity as banks do,” he says.
What to consider before getting a shadow bank loan
Borrowers should just take care to tread carefully and examine the terms and conditions of the financing before signing on the dotted line, says Mark Greene, a longtime mortgage lender based in Hackensack, NJ.
He recommends looking for red flags like adjustable rate change terms, prepayment penalties, and other hidden fees.
Good ol’ common sense will come in handy too.
“If your loan is coming from a fishy-sounding company like Two Brothers Fly-by-Night Hard Money-Lenders, Inc., you may want to dig a bit deeper, to figure out what kind of lender it really is,” says law professor Reiss.
REFinBlog has been nominated for the second year in a row for The Expert Institute’s Best Legal Blog Competition in the Education Category. Please vote here if you like what you read.
October 28, 2016 | Permalink | No Comments
Friday’s Government Reports Roundup
- The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau warned 44 mortgage lenders and mortgage brokers regarding their compliance with the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act.
- Today, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) stated their cap for their “low income housing tax credit (LIHTC) and private activity bond (PAB)”
- The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development proposed a new resilience standard to help communities that have been devastated by flooding.
REFinBlog has been nominated for the second year in a row for The Expert Institute’s Best Legal Blog Competition in the Education Category. Please vote here if you like what you read.
October 28, 2016 | Permalink | No Comments
October 27, 2016
Should Seniors Pay Off Their Mortgages?
TheStreet.com quoted me in Should Seniors Pay Off Their Mortgages? It opens,
Increasingly, seniors are going against the conventional retirement wisdom about mortgages which, always before, preached that a cornerstone of a good retirement was to enter it debt free. That meant without a mortgage.
And yet about one-third of homeowners 65 and older have a mortgage now. That’s up from 22% in 2001. Among seniors 75 and older, the rate jumped from 8.4% to 21.2%.
The appeal, of course, is that home mortgages are cheap; 30-year fixed-rate loans are going out under 3.7%, and 15-year fixed rates can be had for 3.1%.
That puts the question in sharp focus: is this good financial planning or is it reckless?
Understand: age discrimination is flatly illegal in home loans. But law does not dictate financial prudence and the question is: is it wiser to pay off a home mortgage if at all possible – which used to be the prevailing wisdom? That still brings a sense of relief, too. Tim Shanahan of Compass Securities Corporation in Braintree, Mass. said: “It’s a great feeling to have no debt and a significant accomplishment to be able to tear up the mortgage.”
True.
But is this still the smartest planning? As more seniors take on home mortgages, experts are re-opening the analysis.
“The short answer to the question is it depends,” said certified financial planner Kevin O’Brien of Peak Financial Services in Northborough, Mass. O’Brien is not being cute. So much of this is individual-centric. O’Brien continued: “It depends on how strong the person’s cash flow is or not. It depends on how much liquid savings and investments they have after they might pay it off. It also depends on the balance they need to pay off in relation to their sources of cash flow, and liquid assets.”
Keep in mind, too: today’s retirement is not yesteryear’s. About one senior in four has told researchers he plans to work past 70 years of age. That means they have income. Also, at age 70, a person has every reason to claim Social Security – there are no benefits in delaying – so that means many 70+ year-olds now have two checks coming in, plus what retirement savings and pensions they have accrued.
That complexity is why Pedro Silva of Provo Financial Services in Shrewsbury, Mass offered nuanced advice: “We like to see clients go into retirement without mortgage debt. This monthly payment can be troublesome in retirement if people are using pre-tax money, such as IRAs, to pay monthly mortgage. That means that they pay tax on every dollar coming from these accounts and use the net amount to pay the mortgage.”
“If clients will carry a mortgage, then the low rates are a great opportunity to lock in a low payment,” Silva continued. “We encourage those folks who don’t foresee paying off their home in retirement, to stretch the payments as long as possible for as low a rate as possible.”
David Reiss, a professor at Brooklyn Law and a housing expert, offered what may be the key question: “I think the right question is – what would you do with your money if you did not pay off the mortgage? Would it sit in a savings account earning 0.01% interest — and taxable interest, at that? Paying off your mortgage could give you a guaranteed rate that is equal to your mortgage’s interest rate. So if you are paying 4.5% on your mortgage and you take money from your savings account that is not spoken for — like your emergency fund — you would do way better than the 0.01% you are getting in that savings account, even after taxes are taken into account.”
REFinBlog has been nominated for the second year in a row for The Expert Institute’s Best Legal Blog Competition in the Education Category. Please vote here if you like what you read.
October 27, 2016 | Permalink | No Comments
Thursday’s Advocacy & Think Tank Roundup
- Although home prices are increasing, the housing market in the U.S. is exhibiting some “cracks” in the housing market that could set the market back.
- The First American Title Insurance Company released a recent report detailing the current trends within the housing market in Fort Collins housing market.
- U.S. News released a report about the September housing trends. The report found that August was not a good month for the U.S. housing market; however, September surprised the nation with their monthly home sales in the U.S.
October 27, 2016 | Permalink | No Comments
October 26, 2016
High Times for New REIT
Realtor.com quoted me in Could This Marijuana REIT Make Millions, or Are They Just High? It opens,
Investing in real estate just got waaay more interesting, dudes! That’s because amid all that stuffy stock-market buzz, a wacky new REIT (real estate investment trust) has just gone public—and it’s the first in the country to focus on funding marijuana growers.
REITs, for you rookies out there, are funds that specialize in real estate. So, they use their investors’ money to build shopping malls, hotels, and condo complexes with the hope that their value will rise over time. This new pot-friendly REIT, owned by San Diego investment firm Innovative Industrial Properties (IIP), works exactly the same way, only by investing in facilities that grow, store, and distribute cannabis.
Granted, IIP is concentrating exclusively on medicinal marijuana facilities—so no one’s getting high for fun off investor money.
Nonetheless, this REIT could provide a much-needed infusion of capital for marijuana growers. Currently, although cannabis is legal for medicinal purposes in 24 states and for recreational use in four (which could rise to nine after Election Day), under federal law, marijuana is still illegal—and that keeps most banks from loaning these companies money.
REITs, however, aren’t bound by the same strict principles as big banks. So, IIP can shower ganja growers with cash—and could stand to make huge piles of money for its investors, right?
It could … but this whole scheme could also implode in a funky cloud of smoke.
“With limited information due to the newness of cannabis legalization, there’s not much of a track record or history to determine a cannabis REIT’s future performance,” says real estate and economic advisor Jack McCabe of McCabe Research & Consulting. McCabe also concedes that he hasn’t scrutinized this particular firm’s investment criteria, methodology, or fees.
“The early results show a new and flourishing industry,” McCabe says. “My opinion is that marijuana REITs and investors could see triple-digit profits and growth that could be historic and surpass profits generated by most all established industries.”
Whoa, triple-digit returns! That’s pretty impressive performance for any investment.
“A typical REIT is viewed as a fixed-income vehicle that competes with bonds,” says Paul Habibi, a real estate entrepreneur and professor at UCLA. “The range of REIT dividends are in the mid-single digits, like 5% to 6%.”
But there’s another caveat: No one knows how the federal government might decide to deal with semilegal cannabis down the road.
“Given medical-use marijuana is illegal under federal law, how could that play out with federal regulation of IIP?” points out David Reiss, a professor of Law at Brooklyn [Law School] and editor of REFinBlog.com.
The IIP (which could not comment), admits that much is still unknown in one of its SEC filings:
“Although the federal government currently has a relaxed enforcement position as it relates to states that have legalized medical-use cannabis, it remains illegal under federal law, and therefore, strict enforcement of federal laws regarding medical-use cannabis would likely result in our inability and the inability of our tenants to execute our respective business plans.”
October 26, 2016 | Permalink | No Comments
Wednesday’s Academic Roundup
- Bad Credit, No Problem? Credit and Labor Market Consequences of Bad Credt Reports, Dobbie,Mahoney, Pinkham, & Song
- Reverse Mortgage: An Empiracal Study in Indian Perspective, Pahuja & Sanjeev
- The Neighborhood Impact of Airbnb on New Orleans, Dicle & Levendis
- Home Price Expectations and Behavior: Evidence from a Randomized Information Experiment, Armona, Fuster, & Zafar
- Can Learning Explain Boom-Bust Cycles in Asset Prices? An Application to the U.S. Housing Boom, Caines
October 26, 2016 | Permalink | No Comments



