Friday’s Government Reports Roundup
- The United States Department of Housing and Urban Development released its 2017 Annual Homeless Assessment Report. The report noted more than half a million individuals were displaced on one single night in 2017. Though the half a million is a large sum, the number of families displaced from homes decreased by over 5%. While this decline is great, the number of homeless veterans increased. Further large cities on the West Coast account for the increase in individual homelessness.
- The U.S. Government Accountability Office released a report entitled, Financial Audit: Federal Housing Finance Agency’s (FHFA) Fiscal Years 2017 and 2016 Financial Statements. The report noted the FHFA complied with the nation’s acceptable accounting principles. Further, for the 2017 fiscal year, there were no reports of non-compliance with applicable laws.
December 8, 2017 | Permalink | No Comments
December 7, 2017
Preparing for the Next Housing Tsunami
Greg Kaplan et al. posted The Housing Boom and Bust: Model Meets Evidence to SSRN. The abstract reads,
We build a model of the U.S. economy with multiple aggregate shocks (income, housing finance conditions, and beliefs about future housing demand) that generate fluctuations in equilibrium house prices. Through a series of counterfactual experiments, we study the housing boom and bust around the Great Recession and obtain three main results. First, we find that the main driver of movements in house prices and rents was a shift in beliefs. Shifts in credit conditions do not move house prices but are important for the dynamics of home ownership, leverage, and foreclosures. The role of housing rental markets and long-term mortgages in alleviating credit constraints is central to these findings. Second, our model suggests that the boom-bust in house prices explains half of the corresponding swings in non-durable expenditures and that the transmission mechanism is a wealth effect through household balance sheets. Third, we find that a large-scale debt forgiveness program would have done little to temper the collapse of house prices and expenditures, but would have dramatically reduced foreclosures and induced a small, but persistent, increase in consumption during the recovery.
I think the last sentence is worth pondering a bit: “a large-scale debt forgiveness program would have done little to temper the collapse of house prices and expenditures, but would have dramatically reduced foreclosures and induced a small, but persistent, increase in consumption during the recovery.” During the Great Depression, the federal government took steps that relieved the debt burden of over a million households by extending the terms of their mortgages and lowering the interest rates on them.
While this was no panacea, it did let millions stay in their homes during a period of great financial stress. The steps taken to help struggling homeowners during the recent Great Recession were much more timid than those taken during the Great Depression. This paper adds to a body of literature that suggests we should not be so timid the next time we are hit by an economic tsunami.
December 7, 2017 | Permalink | No Comments
Thursday’s Advocacy & Think Tank Roundup
- A banking institution joined the battle over the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s new leadership. Lower East Side People’s Federal Credit Union alleges Trump’s appointment of Mulvaney is an “illegal hostile takeover,” of the agency. Lower East Side People’s Federal Credit Union is a New York based credit union that believes Cordray’s appointment following his resignation is the sole legitimate leader of the federal agency. As a result, the credit union sued President Trump and Mulvaney.
- The Senate is hard at work attempting to revise and restructure the financial legislation in place during the Obama administration. The Senate’s newest effort is to repeal the Dodd-Frank Act. The Senate’s Banking Committee began a markup of a bill which will restructure the current rules and regulations of the financial industry. The bill is entitled, the Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief and Consumer Protection Act. According to critics, the bill eliminates imperative Wall Street and consumer protections.
December 7, 2017 | Permalink | No Comments





